Know Exactly How Many Months Your Startup Can Survive
Runway is the single most important financial metric for founders. Track monthly burn rate, forecast future months, plan fundraising, and avoid running out of money. One page, 15 minutes to calculate.
← Back to Procurement FrameworkYour cash runway is how many months you can operate before your cash runs out. It's the difference between hustle and panic. This checklist gives you a simple, repeatable way to calculate your runway, forecast your burn rate, and plan your next funding round.
The formula is simple. The execution takes focus.
Runway (months) = Current Cash / Monthly Burn Rate
Burn rate = (Monthly COGS) + (Monthly OpEx)
COGS (Cost of Goods Sold): Direct costs to deliver your product. For SaaS: AWS costs, payment processing fees, customer support costs.
OpEx (Operating Expenses): All other expenses. Salaries, rent, software subscriptions, marketing, office supplies, insurance.
Tip: Review your last 3 months of financials. Average them to get a realistic burn rate. Don't include one-time expenses (like legal fees) unless you expect them again.
Look at your last bank statement or accounting system. This is your cash balance as of today. Add in any upcoming cash inflows (funding, large contracts) and subtract any upcoming cash outflows (unexpected costs, delayed payments).
Divide cash by burn rate. Round down to the nearest whole month.
Example:
Current Cash: $150,000
Monthly Burn Rate: $25,000
Runway = $150,000 / $25,000 = 6 months
How much runway do you need, and what do you do with it?
Runway is not a one-time calculation. Recalculate every month as your cash and burn rate change.
A hardware startup had $180,000 in the bank and a monthly burn rate of $30,000. Their runway calculation showed 6 months.
They updated their runway review monthly. In month 4, burn rate increased to $35,000 due to hiring. Runway dropped to 4.1 months.
They immediately: (1) cut a $5,000/month expense, (2) accelerated a contract closing that would bring in $100k over 3 months, (3) sent a term sheet to investors. By month 6, they had raised $500k, new cash was $680k, and runway was back to 18 months.
Lesson: Monthly runway reviews prevent surprise runway cliffs. Early action is everything.